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Why SIPs Still Beat Timing the Market

Deepak Shenoy6 min read

The pitch investors keep hearing

“Wait for the correction” sounds like sound advice until you measure how often the correction actually arrives on schedule — and how much return is given up waiting for it.

What the flow data shows

SIP inflows into Indian equity mutual funds have grown every year for the better part of a decade, even through 2020 and 2022. The investors who kept their SIPs running through both drawdowns are, on a rupee-cost-averaged basis, ahead of most investors who paused and tried to re-enter at a “better” price.

The math behind it

A SIP does two things a discretionary investor rarely does consistently: it buys more units when prices fall, and it removes the emotional decision of “when” entirely. Over a full market cycle, that mechanical discipline usually beats an intuition-driven entry and exit strategy — not because the intuition is bad, but because it has to be right twice.

Where SIPs alone aren’t enough

A SIP is a savings habit, not a strategy. It doesn’t tell you what to buy, how much risk to carry, or when to rebalance. Pairing systematic investing with a portfolio construction process — rather than a single fund chosen once and forgotten — is where the real compounding happens.

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